The Bitcoin Credit Stack
rates are percent a year, continuously compounded · figures as of 2026-10-13 · read 2026-10-13 14:43 UTC
Indicators › Liquidation › Bitcoin liquidations would release at a fall

Bitcoin liquidations would release at a fall

btc-released-at-fall

How much bitcoin liquidations would release if prices fell 10, 20 or 30%, from the positions as they stand: for each bucket within the fall, debt times one plus the venue's liquidation incentive, over the liquidation price. Not a forecast: no repayment, top-up or market impact is assumed. Absent where a venue's incentive is not yet read, with the venues named.

UnitsBTC
Computed atnot stated in the payload
Historyserved

Methodology descriptive · CX1 Q7

What it measures. The bitcoin liquidations would release if every venue's own mark fell 10, 20 or 30%: for each bucket of bitcoin-only positions in the band, dollar debt × (1 + the venue's liquidation incentive) over the bucket's liquidation price.

Read with care. Arithmetic on the book as it stands. No repayment, top-up, contagion or market impact is assumed, so it is not a forecast. Positions posting other collateral beside bitcoin are not in it.

Absences. Absent where a venue with debt in the band has no liquidation incentive read yet; the venue is named, with the partial sum. From 2020-05-03, where the one venue with a longer history begins; dates before 2022-09-19 are context.

History

Bitcoin liquidations would release at a 20% fall

Arithmetic on the book as it stands, not a forecast. Absent where a venue in the band has no liquidation incentive read yet; the absences are marked. From 2020-05-03; the 10% and 30% falls are in the reading and on the explorer.

2026-10-13At a 20% fall absent — incentive_unread
05k10k15k20kBTC202120222023202420252026
At a 20% fall

Mondays are drawn here; every day is in the explorer. Open in the explorer →

What this cannot be read as

Bitcoin that liquidations would release if every venue's own mark fell 20%: for each bucket of bitcoin-only positions whose liquidation price lies within 20% below its venue's mark, dollar debt x (1 + the venue's liquidation incentive) / the bucket's liquidation price (its midpoint). Arithmetic on the book as it stands, with no repayment, top-up, contagion or market impact assumed: not a forecast. Mixed and unbucketed venues are not in it (see liq_bucketed_share). Before 2026-10-08 the map holds Sky alone (a coverage step on 2026-10-08). Observational: one credit cycle, from 2022-09-19.

https://www.bitcoincreditstack.com/indicators/btc-released-at-fall

Full payload

Every field as the API serves it
idbtc-released-at-fall
nameBitcoin liquidations would release at a fall
measureCX-Q7
questionHow much bitcoin would liquidations release if every venue's own mark fell 10, 20 or 30%, with no repayment or top-up?
headlinecx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_20
sourceDerived: HX1 credit_liq_buckets_daily and credit_liq_venue_daily (liquidation_incentive)
series
3 entries
[
  {
    "series_id": "cx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_20",
    "date": "2026-10-13",
    "value": null,
    "unit": "BTC",
    "kind": "absent:incentive_unread",
    "venues": 23,
    "missing": [
      "aave_v4_avalanche",
      "aave_v4_ethereum",
      "venus_core_pool_bsc"
    ],
    "coverage": {
      "in": 30,
      "of": 88
    },
    "debt_usd": "305352638.91",
    "partial_btc": "4403.68314835",
    "debt_without_incentive_usd": "6482772.98",
    "limitation": "Bitcoin that liquidations would release if every venue's own mark fell 20%: for each bucket of bitcoin-only positions whose liquidation price lies within 20% below its venue's mark, dollar debt x (1 + the venue's liquidation incentive) / the bucket's liquidation price (its midpoint). Arithmetic on the book as it stands, with no repayment, top-up, contagion or market impact assumed: not a forecast. Mixed and unbucketed venues are not in it (see liq_bucketed_share). Before 2026-10-08 the map holds Sky alone (a coverage step on 2026-10-08). Observational: one credit cycle, from 2022-09-19.",
    "vintage_id": "cx@2026-10-13T08:15:00.531Z"
  },
  {
    "series_id": "cx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_10",
    "date": "2026-10-13",
    "value": null,
    "unit": "BTC",
    "kind": "absent:incentive_unread",
    "venues": 21,
    "missing": [
      "aave_v4_ethereum",
      "venus_core_pool_bsc"
    ],
    "coverage": {
      "in": 30,
      "of": 88
    },
    "debt_usd": "54445246.98",
    "partial_btc": "746.26341426",
    "debt_without_incentive_usd": "77814.11",
    "limitation": "Bitcoin that liquidations would release if every venue's own mark fell 10%: for each bucket of bitcoin-only positions whose liquidation price lies within 10% below its venue's mark, dollar debt x (1 + the venue's liquidation incentive) / the bucket's liquidation price (its midpoint). Arithmetic on the book as it stands, with no repayment, top-up, contagion or market impact assumed: not a forecast. Mixed and unbucketed venues are not in it (see liq_bucketed_share). Before 2026-10-08 the map holds Sky alone (a coverage step on 2026-10-08). Observational: one credit cycle, from 2022-09-19.",
    "vintage_id": "cx@2026-10-13T08:15:00.531Z"
  },
  {
    "series_id": "cx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_30",
    "date": "2026-10-13",
    "value": null,
    "unit": "BTC",
    "kind": "absent:incentive_unread",
    "venues": 27,
    "missing": [
      "aave_v4_avalanche",
      "aave_v4_ethereum",
      "etherfi_borrowing_optimism",
      "venus_core_pool_bsc"
    ],
    "coverage": {
      "in": 30,
      "of": 88
    },
    "debt_usd": "1079537318.74",
    "partial_btc": "17154.82164205",
    "debt_without_incentive_usd": "18260262.38",
    "limitation": "Bitcoin that liquidations would release if every venue's own mark fell 30%: for each bucket of bitcoin-only positions whose liquidation price lies within 30% below its venue's mark, dollar debt x (1 + the venue's liquidation incentive) / the bucket's liquidation price (its midpoint). Arithmetic on the book as it stands, with no repayment, top-up, contagion or market impact assumed: not a forecast. Mixed and unbucketed venues are not in it (see liq_bucketed_share). Before 2026-10-08 the map holds Sky alone (a coverage step on 2026-10-08). Observational: one credit cycle, from 2022-09-19.",
    "vintage_id": "cx@2026-10-13T08:15:00.531Z"
  }
]
methodology
urlhttps://www.bitcoincreditstack.com/indicators/btc-released-at-fall
noteChanges to how a measure is derived are recorded in the runbook and every published version is kept (as_known_on).
sampleOne credit cycle, from 2022-09-19: observational. Descriptive, not a forecast or a signal, and not an index.

Where this comes from

REST
GET https://api.bitcoincreditstack.com/v1/market/measure/btc-released-at-fall
MCP
get_indicator({ id: "btc-released-at-fall" })
get_indicator({ id: "btc-released-at-fall", include_history: true })
get_series({ ids: ["cx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_20", "cx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_10", "cx.market.secured.btc_released_at_fall_30"] })

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